Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Salford City in this match.