Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.