Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.