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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Marienlyst Stadion

Stromsgodset
2 - 3
Brann

Tomasson (38'), Pau Vilaseca Ardraa (90+2')
Kristensen Dahl (65'), Melkersen (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Finne (20'), Valsvik (21' og.), Kartum (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Stromsgodset and SK Brann, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Odd 2-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Stromsgodset 0-2 SK Brann

Buoyed by their victory in the Conference League qualifiers, Brann will head into Sunday's tie with sky-high confidence as they look to break their Marienlyst Stadion hoodoo. Stromsgodset's form is currently nothing to write home about and we are backing the Bergens stolthet to come away with a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
StromsgodsetDrawSK Brann
32.21% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 23.33% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.47% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (0.012 0.01)38.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.94% (0.012 0.01)61.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)23.72% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)57.85% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19% (0.033000000000001 0.03)17.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.45% (0.055 0.05)48.55% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stromsgodset 32.21%
    SK Brann 44.47%
    Draw 23.32%
StromsgodsetDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.37% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 44.47%

How you voted: Stromsgodset vs Brann

Stromsgodset
22.6%
Draw
25.8%
SK Brann
51.6%
31
Head to Head
Jun 28, 2024 6pm
Dec 3, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 30
Stromsgodset
3-0
Brann
Sery (23' og.), Stengel (65', 83' pen.)
Krasniqi (28'), Leifsson (61')

Dyngeland (82')
Jul 16, 2023 6.15pm
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 16
Stromsgodset
3-1
Brann
Stengel (61'), Valsvik (74'), Fjeld Gulliksen (86')
Heggebo (23')
Knutsen (90')
May 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 5
Brann
3-0
Stromsgodset
Heggebo (14'), Valsvik (29' og.), Simba (85')
Strand (23'), Rasmussen (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt29178466293759
2SK BrannBrann29177554322258
3Viking FKViking FK29168560382256
4MoldeMolde29157764352952
5RosenborgRosenborg2915594839950
6Fredrikstad2913973835348
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset2998123140-935
8KFUM OsloKFUM29810113336-334
9SandefjordSandefjord2997134145-434
10KristiansundKristiansund29810113241-934
11Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg2997134154-1334
12HamKam2989123437-333
13Tromso ILTromso2996143342-933
14FK HaugesundHaugesund2986152745-1830
15Lillestrom2973193158-2724
16Odd2958162552-2723


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