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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
11.77% ( 0) | 15.46% ( 0.04) | 72.77% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 59.13% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.22% ( -0.21) | 28.78% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.3% ( -0.26) | 49.7% ( 0.26) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.49% ( -0.15) | 36.51% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.7% ( -0.15) | 73.3% ( 0.15) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.13% ( -0.06) | 6.87% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.74% ( -0.15) | 25.25% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.77% | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.46% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.38% 2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 72.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |