MX23RW : Saturday, May 10 23:02:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
Ajax

Vitesse
1 - 2
Ajax

FT(HT: 1-1)
Klaassen (32'), Alvarez (54')
Alvarez (52'), Wijndal (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Vitesse 1-3 Ajax

Having been dumped out of Europe quite early, Ajax know that anything less than a league title would represent a disastrous season for them. We are backing them to get the job done here and keep the pressure up on Feyenoord in the race for glory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
VitesseDrawAjax
18.59% (-0.073 -0.07) 20.51% (0.081 0.08) 60.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.29% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)38.7% (0.518 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.99% (-0.548 -0.55)61.01% (0.551 0.55)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (-0.387 -0.39)34.28% (0.39 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (-0.418 -0.42)70.98% (0.42099999999999 0.42)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)12.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.92% (-0.338 -0.34)38.08% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 18.59%
    Ajax 60.9%
    Draw 20.51%
VitesseDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 18.59%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.26% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 6.92% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.47% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.94% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 60.9%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Ajax

Vitesse
Draw
Ajax
Vitesse
11.8%
Draw
7.8%
Ajax
80.4%
51
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-2
Vitesse
Tadic (6'), Lucca (79')
Manhoef (25', 74')
Reiziger (84')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Vitesse
2-2
Ajax
Openda (52', 56')
Brobbey (15'), Alvarez (87')
Alvarez (24'), Brobbey (73'), Blind (73'), Klaassen (76')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (17', 61'), Haller (30', 46'), Tadic (51')

Wittek (52')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (5'), Alvarez (31'), Gravenberch (43'), Hajek (60' og.), Klaassen (67')

Bazoer (41'), Oroz (85')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Vitesse
1-3
Ajax
Openda (44')
Hajek (23')
Haller (12'), Antony (43'), Martinez (75')
Antony (25'), Neres (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV31224593355870
3Feyenoord31198472333965
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente31149858441451
6AZ AlkmaarAZ31148951341750
7Go Ahead Eagles31138105249347
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen31108133846-838
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen3197154345-234
14PEC Zwolle31810133849-1134
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


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