MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 06:51:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
Ajax

Vitesse
1 - 2
Ajax

FT(HT: 1-1)
Klaassen (32'), Alvarez (54')
Alvarez (52'), Wijndal (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Vitesse 1-3 Ajax

Having been dumped out of Europe quite early, Ajax know that anything less than a league title would represent a disastrous season for them. We are backing them to get the job done here and keep the pressure up on Feyenoord in the race for glory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
VitesseDrawAjax
18.59% (-0.073 -0.07) 20.51% (0.081 0.08) 60.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.63% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.29% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)38.7% (0.518 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.99% (-0.548 -0.55)61.01% (0.551 0.55)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (-0.387 -0.39)34.28% (0.39 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (-0.418 -0.42)70.98% (0.42099999999999 0.42)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)12.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.92% (-0.338 -0.34)38.08% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 18.59%
    Ajax 60.9%
    Draw 20.51%
VitesseDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 18.59%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.26% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 6.92% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.47% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.94% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 60.9%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Ajax

Vitesse
11.8%
Draw
7.8%
Ajax
80.4%
51
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-2
Vitesse
Tadic (6'), Lucca (79')
Manhoef (25', 74')
Reiziger (84')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Vitesse
2-2
Ajax
Openda (52', 56')
Brobbey (15'), Alvarez (87')
Alvarez (24'), Brobbey (73'), Blind (73'), Klaassen (76')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (17', 61'), Haller (30', 46'), Tadic (51')

Wittek (52')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (5'), Alvarez (31'), Gravenberch (43'), Hajek (60' og.), Klaassen (67')

Bazoer (41'), Oroz (85')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Vitesse
1-3
Ajax
Openda (44')
Hajek (23')
Haller (12'), Antony (43'), Martinez (75')
Antony (25'), Neres (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.30am
Titans
@
Dolphins
1.15am
Seahawks
@
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ75111741316
3FC UtrechtUtrecht6510116516
4FC Twente7421135814
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!