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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Almere City |
51.65% ( 0.05) | 23.4% ( 0) | 24.95% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.93% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.06% ( -0.06) | 43.94% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% ( -0.06) | 66.32% ( 0.06) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.95% ( -0) | 17.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.79% ( -0) | 47.21% ( 0.01) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% ( -0.07) | 31.36% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.27% ( -0.08) | 67.73% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |