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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
33.21% ( -0.15) | 23.26% ( -0.18) | 43.53% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 63.37% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.97% ( 0.83) | 38.03% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.7% ( 0.88) | 60.29% ( -0.88) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.19% ( 0.31) | 22.81% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.48% ( 0.45) | 56.52% ( -0.45) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.09% ( 0.47) | 17.9% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.29% ( 0.81) | 48.7% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.85% Total : 43.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |