Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

Apr 7, 2024 at 7pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 3
Utrecht

Walemark (90', 90+4')
Braude (70')
Braude (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lidberg (37'), Lammers (48', 83')
Jensen (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 5-1 PEC Zwolle
Wednesday, April 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Heerenveen 1-2 FC Utrecht

Apart from the 4-2 loss to Arne Slot's Feyenoord, Utrecht have been in sensational form of late and should be confident of further cementing their spot in the top eight with three points on Sunday night. Heerenveen battled back hard to earn a point versus Twente earlier in the week, but we feel that De Superfriezen will be unable to repeat the trick at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	FC Utrecht
44.5% ( -0.23)	23.74% ( 0.03)	31.76% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 60.98% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.09% (

-0.04)

40.91% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.7% (

-0.05)

63.3% (

0.05)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

-0.11)

18.66% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.01% (

-0.19)

49.99% (

0.19)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97% (

0.1)

25.03% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3% (

0.14)

59.7% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 44.5%

FC Utrecht 31.76%

Draw 23.74%

Heerenveen	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 44.5%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.76%