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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
16.21% (![]() | 17.32% (![]() | 66.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.63% (![]() | 27.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.05% (![]() | 47.95% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% (![]() | 29.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% (![]() | 65.81% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.26% (![]() | 7.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.45% (![]() | 27.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.33% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 3.41% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 7.14% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.32% | 1-2 @ 9.14% (![]() 1-3 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 4.32% Total : 66.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |