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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
16.21% ( -0.51) | 17.32% ( -0.19) | 66.47% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 64.81% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.63% ( -0.06) | 27.36% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.05% ( -0.08) | 47.95% ( 0.08) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -0.59) | 29.75% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% ( -0.72) | 65.81% ( 0.72) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.26% ( 0.13) | 7.74% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.45% ( 0.32) | 27.55% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.41% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.32% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 4.11% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 2-5 @ 1.55% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.32% Total : 66.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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