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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 11.15am UK
 
AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior
2 - 1
AZ

Horemans (6'), Azarkan (31')
Fein (59'), Markelo (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sugawara (48')
Beukema (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

With 13 goals scored across their five league games on the road so far, AZ have proven themselves to be a formidable attacking threat away from home, and we can see them continuing the trend here en route to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
18.18% (0.396 0.4) 20.3% (0.129 0.13) 61.52% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.57% (0.077000000000005 0.08)38.43% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.28% (0.082000000000001 0.08)60.72% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.479 0.48)34.56% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (0.505 0.51)71.28% (-0.503 -0.5)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.12 -0.12)12.04% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46% (-0.258 -0.26)37.53% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 18.18%
    AZ Alkmaar 61.52%
    Draw 20.3%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 4.97% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 4.42% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.35% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 18.18%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 9.32% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.58% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 61.52%

How you voted: Excelsior vs AZ

SBV Excelsior
20.0%
Draw
12.0%
AZ Alkmaar
68.0%
25
Head to Head
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
SBV Excelsior
4-2
AZ
Fortes (21'), Van Rhijn (51' og.), Bruins (60' pen.), Omarsson (66')
Mattheij (41')
Koopmeiners (30'), Johnsen (70')
Gudmundsson (59')
Dec 15, 2018 6.45pm
AZ
2-1
SBV Excelsior
Til (39'), Johnsen (94')
Ouwejan (57')
Mahmudov (30')
Fortes (75')
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-2
AZ
Messaoud (64')
Koolwijk (34'), Bruins (70')
Zwarthoed (19' og.), Jahanbakhsh (44')
Svensson (75')
Sep 24, 2017 3.45pm
Mar 5, 2017 11.30am
AZ
1-1
SBV Excelsior
Dos Santos Souza (21')
Luckassen (62'), Rienstra (64'), Vlaar (69'), Til (74'), Svensson (90')
Van Duinen (60')
Koolwijk (28'), Mattheij (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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