MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 13:53:12| >> :120:37534:37534:
AZ Alkmaar
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 1
Dnipro-1

Odgaard (8'), Pavlidis (87')
de Wit (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dovbyk (40')
Busanello (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Dnipro-1, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-0 Chornomorets
Sunday, October 30 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Dnipro-1

Dnipro-1 have put together a superb run of form over the past few months and will head into the midweek clash with sky-high confidence after extending their domestic unbeaten run. However, they take on an AZ Alkmaar side whose home turf has been a fortress this season. We predict a thrilling contest with both sides cancelling each other's efforts and holding out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawDnipro-1
57.52% (-0.116 -0.12) 22.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 19.5% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.67% (0.254 0.25)48.33% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (0.232 0.23)70.47% (-0.232 -0.23)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.048999999999992 0.05)16.54% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69% (0.088999999999999 0.09)46.31% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (0.293 0.29)38.93% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (0.276 0.28)75.66% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 57.5%
    Dnipro-1 19.5%
    Draw 22.98%
AZ AlkmaarDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 10.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 57.5%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.5%

How you voted: AZ vs Dnipro-1

AZ Alkmaar
78.0%
Draw
15.9%
Dnipro-1
6.1%
82
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 8pm
Group E
Dnipro-1
0-1
AZ
De Wit (63')
Bazoer (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!