MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:56:14| >> :120:14230:14230:
AZ Alkmaar
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 1
Dnipro-1

Odgaard (8'), Pavlidis (87')
de Wit (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dovbyk (40')
Busanello (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Dnipro-1, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-0 Chornomorets
Sunday, October 30 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Dnipro-1

Dnipro-1 have put together a superb run of form over the past few months and will head into the midweek clash with sky-high confidence after extending their domestic unbeaten run. However, they take on an AZ Alkmaar side whose home turf has been a fortress this season. We predict a thrilling contest with both sides cancelling each other's efforts and holding out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawDnipro-1
57.52% (-0.116 -0.12) 22.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 19.5% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.67% (0.254 0.25)48.33% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (0.232 0.23)70.47% (-0.232 -0.23)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.048999999999992 0.05)16.54% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69% (0.088999999999999 0.09)46.31% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (0.293 0.29)38.93% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (0.276 0.28)75.66% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 57.5%
    Dnipro-1 19.5%
    Draw 22.98%
AZ AlkmaarDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 10.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 57.5%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.5%

How you voted: AZ vs Dnipro-1

AZ Alkmaar
78.0%
Draw
15.9%
Dnipro-1
6.1%
82
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 8pm
Group E
Dnipro-1
0-1
AZ
De Wit (63')
Bazoer (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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