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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | Vitesse |
49.09% ( 0.05) | 24.44% ( -0.06) | 26.47% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.97% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.78% ( 0.24) | 47.22% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.55% ( 0.22) | 69.45% ( -0.23) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% ( 0.11) | 19.29% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.97% ( 0.19) | 51.03% ( -0.19) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.11% ( 0.13) | 31.89% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.66% ( 0.15) | 68.34% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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