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FC Twente logo
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Waalwijk logo
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Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Vitesse

FC Twente
1 - 0
Vitesse

Steijn (39')
Sadilek (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oroz (36'), Cocu (37'), Pinto (45+3'), de Regt (65'), Kozlowski (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, September 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-0 Vitesse

Twente had a difficult Sunday afternoon at Waalwijk and looked unrecognisable from the side who started their campaign with four victories, but supporters will be expecting a return to winning ways on Wednesday. Vitesse are enduring an early-season rut under the questionable management of former Derby County boss Cocu, and we believe the Arnhem-based club will come away from De Grolsch Veste without any tangible reward for their efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawVitesse
54.42% (0.54 0.54) 21.35% (0.067 0.07) 24.22% (-0.611 -0.61)
Both teams to score 63.4% (-1.001 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.95% (-0.996 -1)35.05% (0.99299999999999 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.95% (-1.118 -1.12)57.04% (1.115 1.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (-0.178 -0.18)13% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.47% (-0.357 -0.36)39.53% (0.354 0.35)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (-1.001 -1)27.12% (0.998 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (-1.325 -1.33)62.51% (1.322 1.32)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 54.42%
    Vitesse 24.22%
    Draw 21.35%
FC TwenteDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.272 0.27)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.312 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.019 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.42%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 24.22%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Vitesse

FC Twente
93.1%
Draw
6.9%
Vitesse
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 18
Vitesse
2-2
FC Twente
Vidovic (44'), Bero (52')
Van Wolfswinkel (33' pen.), Cerny (59')
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 8
FC Twente
3-0
Vitesse
Brenet (37'), Misidjan (74'), Smal (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 19
FC Twente
3-0
Vitesse
Bosch (18'), Van Wolfswinkel (45+1' pen., 53')

Doekhi (30')
Rasmussen (45')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Vitesse
1-4
FC Twente
Darfalou (62')
Doekhi (42'), Schubert (45+1'), Bero (58')
Doekhi (85')
Propper (3', 56'), Van Wolfswinkel (45+1' pen.), Vlap (60')
Brama (18'), Sadilek (39'), Zerrouki (45+1')
Apr 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
FC Twente
1-2
Vitesse
Danilo (20' pen.)
Dumic (4'), Roemeratoe (88')
Tannane (44' pen., 90+5')
Broja (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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