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Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Vitesse

FC Twente
1 - 0
Vitesse

Steijn (39')
Sadilek (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oroz (36'), Cocu (37'), Pinto (45+3'), de Regt (65'), Kozlowski (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, September 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-0 Vitesse

Twente had a difficult Sunday afternoon at Waalwijk and looked unrecognisable from the side who started their campaign with four victories, but supporters will be expecting a return to winning ways on Wednesday. Vitesse are enduring an early-season rut under the questionable management of former Derby County boss Cocu, and we believe the Arnhem-based club will come away from De Grolsch Veste without any tangible reward for their efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawVitesse
54.42% (0.54 0.54) 21.35% (0.067 0.07) 24.22% (-0.611 -0.61)
Both teams to score 63.4% (-1.001 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.95% (-0.996 -1)35.05% (0.99299999999999 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.95% (-1.118 -1.12)57.04% (1.115 1.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (-0.178 -0.18)13% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.47% (-0.357 -0.36)39.53% (0.354 0.35)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (-1.001 -1)27.12% (0.998 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (-1.325 -1.33)62.51% (1.322 1.32)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 54.42%
    Vitesse 24.22%
    Draw 21.35%
FC TwenteDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.272 0.27)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.312 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.019 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.42%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 24.22%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Vitesse

FC Twente
93.1%
Draw
6.9%
Vitesse
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 18
Vitesse
2-2
FC Twente
Vidovic (44'), Bero (52')
Van Wolfswinkel (33' pen.), Cerny (59')
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 8
FC Twente
3-0
Vitesse
Brenet (37'), Misidjan (74'), Smal (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 19
FC Twente
3-0
Vitesse
Bosch (18'), Van Wolfswinkel (45+1' pen., 53')

Doekhi (30')
Rasmussen (45')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Vitesse
1-4
FC Twente
Darfalou (62')
Doekhi (42'), Schubert (45+1'), Bero (58')
Doekhi (85')
Propper (3', 56'), Van Wolfswinkel (45+1' pen.), Vlap (60')
Brama (18'), Sadilek (39'), Zerrouki (45+1')
Apr 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
FC Twente
1-2
Vitesse
Danilo (20' pen.)
Dumic (4'), Roemeratoe (88')
Tannane (44' pen., 90+5')
Broja (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Feyenoord6240126610
6Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
7Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
8Groningen723210829
9Heracles723269-39
10Willem II722310918
11Ajax42118357
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk6006317-140


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