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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
54.42% ( 0.54) | 21.35% ( 0.07) | 24.22% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 63.4% ( -1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.95% ( -1) | 35.05% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.95% ( -1.12) | 57.04% ( 1.11) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.99% ( -0.18) | 13% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.47% ( -0.36) | 39.53% ( 0.35) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% ( -1) | 27.12% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% ( -1.33) | 62.51% ( 1.32) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.42% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.81% Total : 24.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |