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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
56.71% ( 0.07) | 21.79% ( 0.13) | 21.49% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 58.05% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.56% ( -0.82) | 40.44% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.18% ( -0.85) | 62.81% ( 0.86) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.9% ( -0.25) | 14.1% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.27% ( -0.5) | 41.73% ( 0.51) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.58% ( -0.63) | 32.42% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.06% ( -0.72) | 68.94% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.71% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 21.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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