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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-3 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
12.52% ( -0.06) | 16.38% ( -0.07) | 71.1% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.6% ( 0.21) | 31.4% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.14% ( 0.25) | 52.86% ( -0.25) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.79% ( 0.05) | 37.21% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( 0.05) | 73.99% ( -0.06) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.18% ( 0.08) | 7.82% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.25% ( 0.2) | 27.74% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 12.52% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.38% | 0-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 5.06% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.68% Total : 71.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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