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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
21.36% ( -1.18) | 21.53% ( -0.79) | 57.1% ( 1.96) |
Both teams to score 58.77% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.6% ( 2.16) | 39.4% ( -2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.26% ( 2.22) | 61.74% ( -2.22) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% ( 0.15) | 31.95% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( 0.17) | 68.41% ( -0.17) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.36% ( 1.35) | 13.64% ( -1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.2% ( 2.63) | 40.8% ( -2.62) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.54% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.55% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0.31) 0-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.18) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.18) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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