Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 1
Sparta

ter Avest (23')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Neghli (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 4-2 Sparta
Sunday, May 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Both teams have had relatively impressive campaigns and will be confident of finishing strongly. That said, we fancy Utrecht to make home advantage count and emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 3-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
69.08% ( 0.43)	17.1% ( -0.12)	13.82% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 59.03% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.24% (

-0.15)

31.76% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.72% (

-0.18)

53.28% (

0.18)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.67% (

0.06)

8.33% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.96% (

0.13)

29.04% (

-0.13)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.39% (

-0.52)

35.61% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.62% (

-0.54)

72.38% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 69.08%

Sparta Rotterdam 13.82%

Draw 17.1%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.53% Total : 69.08%	1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.1%	1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.21% Total : 13.82%