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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 3-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
69.08% ( 0.43) | 17.1% ( -0.12) | 13.82% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.24% ( -0.15) | 31.76% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.72% ( -0.18) | 53.28% ( 0.18) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.67% ( 0.06) | 8.33% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.96% ( 0.13) | 29.04% ( -0.13) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.39% ( -0.52) | 35.61% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.62% ( -0.54) | 72.38% ( 0.54) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.53% Total : 69.08% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.1% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.21% Total : 13.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |