Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Philips Stadion
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam
PSV have been nearly flawless at Philips Stadion this season, and we cannot formulate a convincing argument of why that would change on Sunday afternoon versus Sparta Rotterdam.
Boeren know that a point will be enough to clinch their first Eredivisie crown in six years, but we reckon that Bosz's men will go the extra mile to secure a comfortable win here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.96% . A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.32% .
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.19% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.29%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%) , while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.52%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result PSV Eindhoven Draw Sparta Rotterdam 78.96% ( -0.28) 12.73% ( 0.27) 8.32% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.37% ( -1.33)
74.22% ( -1.48) 25.78% ( 1.49)
54.07% ( -1.94) 45.93% ( 1.94)
94.86% ( -0.33) 5.14% ( 0.34)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 79.6% ( -1.01) 20.4% ( 1.01)
59.42% ( -1.19) 40.58% ( 1.2)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.83% ( -1.09) 77.17% ( 1.1)
PSV Eindhoven 78.96%
Sparta Rotterdam 8.32%
Draw 12.73%
PSV Eindhoven Draw Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.45) 4-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.16) 6-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.14) Other @ 5.73% Total : 78.96% 1-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.73% 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.79% Total : 8.32%
How you voted: PSV vs Sparta
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam
25
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 17:53:39
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