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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
64.56% | 19.05% | 16.39% |
Both teams to score 58.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.28% | 35.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.21% | 57.78% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.55% | 10.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.96% | 34.04% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% | 34.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% | 71.66% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 7.37% 3-0 @ 7.01% 4-1 @ 4.17% 4-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 3.88% 4-2 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.79% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.99% Total : 64.56% | 1-1 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 5.15% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.05% | 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-1 @ 3.84% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |