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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
64.95% ( -1.65) | 19.09% ( 0.81) | 15.95% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.2% ( -2.18) | 36.8% ( 2.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.03% ( -2.4) | 58.97% ( 2.4) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.34% ( -1.01) | 10.65% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.49% ( -2.31) | 34.51% ( 2.31) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% ( -0.33) | 36.12% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% ( -0.34) | 72.9% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.21) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.79% Total : 64.95% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.09% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |