MX23RW : Monday, March 10 17:44:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Fortuna Sittard

Nijmegen
4 - 1
Sittard

Ouaissa (34'), van Crooij (69'), Verdonk (71'), Ouwejan (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rosier (39')
Rosier (33'), Fosso (43'), Grujcic (45'), Da Cruz (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, January 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-2 Fortuna Sittard

While NEC managed to bring an end to a five-match winless run last weekend against PEC Zwolle, they are now set to face a much sterner task against top-half opposition. Fortuna Sittard have only won two away games this season, but they have been tough to beat on the road, losing only once in their last six outings, and we feel they will be able to earn a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
43.66% (0.467 0.47) 24.64% (0.174 0.17) 31.7% (-0.635 -0.63)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.874 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (-1.027 -1.03)45.13% (1.031 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-0.992 -0.99)67.48% (0.997 1)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.217 -0.22)20.76% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (-0.346 -0.35)53.39% (0.352 0.35)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (-0.89699999999999 -0.9)27.12% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (-1.188 -1.19)62.51% (1.192 1.19)
Score Analysis
    NEC 43.66%
    Fortuna Sittard 31.7%
    Draw 24.64%
NECDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.328 0.33)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.212 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.245 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.7%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Sittard

NEC
54.5%
Draw
18.2%
Fortuna Sittard
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 4
Sittard
0-3
Nijmegen

Aiko (69')
Ogawa (35'), Rober (40'), Ouaissa (88')
Apr 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sittard
1-1
Nijmegen
Sierhuis (75')
Ozyakup (37'), Siovas (90')
Rober (59')
Verdonk (87')
Dec 15, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
Nijmegen
4-1
Sittard
Mattsson (33', 70'), Ogawa (45+2'), Hansen (75')
Proper (16'), Tavsan (42'), Schone (86')
Hoedemakers (49')
Sierhuis (69')
Guth (53'), Pinto (83')
Noslin (24')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Sittard
1-1
Nijmegen
Gladon (90+4' pen.)
Embalo (41')
Dimata (65' pen.)
Sep 10, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
1-1
Sittard
Marques (90+4')
Ozyakup (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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