MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:04:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Sparta

Marquez (90')
Meijer (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Neghli (84')
Verschueren (3'), Eerdhuijzen (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 5-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-2 NAC Breda
Saturday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam

With both sides desperate to end tough runs of form, we anticipate a hard-fought contest on Sunday and see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NECDrawSparta Rotterdam
34.45% (0.325 0.33) 24.37% (0.2 0.2) 41.17% (-0.527 -0.53)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.638 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.95% (-0.868 -0.87)43.04% (0.866 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.55% (-0.863 -0.86)65.44% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (-0.224 -0.22)24.47% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-0.312 -0.31)58.91% (0.311 0.31)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)21.01% (0.609 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (-0.962 -0.96)53.79% (0.95999999999999 0.96)
Score Analysis
    NEC 34.45%
    Sparta Rotterdam 41.17%
    Draw 24.37%
NECDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.17%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Sparta

NEC
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sparta Rotterdam
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Nijmegen
2-0
Sparta
Proper (32'), Verdonk (36')
Hansen (82')

Vriends (44'), Kitolano (45'), van der Kust (77'), el Dahri (90+5')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Sparta
1-1
Nijmegen
Kitolano (81' pen.)
Verschueren (16')
Proper (56')
Nuytinck (8'), Meijer (9'), Hansen (57'), Baas (65'), Rober (67'), Rober (70')
Jan 28, 2023 7pm
Oct 16, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 10
Sparta
2-0
Nijmegen
Abels (7'), De Guzman (29')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Nijmegen
0-0
Sparta
Guth (51')
de Kamps (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!