MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:33:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heracles Almelo

Heerenveen
3 - 0
Heracles

Sahraoui (10'), Brouwers (21', 72')
Brouwers (40'), Kohlert (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bakboord (15'), Bultman (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 FC Twente
Sunday, October 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 2-1 Heracles

With two of the Eredivisie's leakiest defences going head-to-head, we are anticipating an exciting clash with chances at both ends. That said, we just about fancy the hosts to emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 22.3% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawHeracles
55.68% (0.663 0.66) 22.02% (-0.305 -0.31) 22.3% (-0.357 -0.36)
Both teams to score 58.42% (0.566 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.52% (0.975 0.98)40.48% (-0.974 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (0.995 0.99)62.86% (-0.994 -0.99)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (0.55 0.55)14.44% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.61% (1.054 1.05)42.39% (-1.052 -1.05)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.227 0.23)31.72% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.261 0.26)68.14% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 55.68%
    Heracles 22.3%
    Draw 22.01%
HeerenveenDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.088 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.079 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.68%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Heracles

Heerenveen
70.0%
Draw
0.0%
Heracles
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
2-0
Heracles
Sarr (59'), Bakker (88')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 13
Heracles
0-1
Heerenveen

Quagliata (39'), de la Torre (48'), Knoester (82')
Veerman (79')
van Beek (60')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
Heracles
1-0
Heerenveen
Burgzorg (89')
Quagliata (71')

Kaib (85')
Dec 20, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Heerenveen
1-2
Heracles
Veerman (57')
Burgzorg (6'), Knoester (48')
Dec 21, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Heerenveen
1-1
Heracles
Veerman (56')
Floranus (38')
Dessers (54')
Breukers (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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