MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 23:02:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Vitesse

Heerenveen
1 - 3
Vitesse

Tahiri (8' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
van Ginkel (23', 58' pen.), Buitink (90+2')
Oroz (21'), Hendriks (46'), Aaronson (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Heerenveen
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Vitesse
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 2-0 Vitesse

Heerenveen might have been struggling lately, but considering they have the chance to earn European football next season there is enough on the line to motivate them here. The visitors have had a difficult season, and given that they are already relegated the hosts will see this as an ideal opportunity to get back to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawVitesse
52.18% (0.378 0.38) 20.49% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 27.33% (-0.37 -0.37)
Both teams to score 70.08% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.24% (-0.3 -0.3)27.76% (0.299 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.56% (-0.375 -0.38)48.44% (0.376 0.38)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81%11.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.3% (0.00099999999999056 0)35.7%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (-0.381 -0.38)21.08% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (-0.595 -0.59)53.9% (0.594 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 52.18%
    Vitesse 27.33%
    Draw 20.49%
HeerenveenDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 5.17% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 5.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.52% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 52.18%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.6% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.36% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.67% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.33%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Vitesse

Heerenveen
100%
Draw
0.0%
Vitesse
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 7pm
Nov 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Vitesse
1-3
Heerenveen
Manhoef (4')
Oroz (30'), van Ginkel (60')
van Ginkel (69')
Van Amersfoort (25'), Tahiri (78' pen.), Nicolaescu (85')
Braude (50')
Jan 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
Heerenveen
1-3
Vitesse
Bialek (32'), Vidovic (45'), Manhoef (47')
Aug 20, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
Vitesse
0-4
Heerenveen

Domgjoni (36'), Wittek (43'), Bero (86')
Van Hooijdonk (5', 72', 77'), Sarr (45+2')
Tahiri (36'), Haye (69')
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vitesse
1-2
Heerenveen
Bero (45+1' pen.)
Buitink (23')
Sarr (75', 83')
Halilovic (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!