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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
52.18% ( 0.38) | 20.49% ( -0.01) | 27.33% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 70.08% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.24% ( -0.3) | 27.76% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.56% ( -0.38) | 48.44% ( 0.38) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.81% | 11.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.3% ( 0) | 35.7% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( -0.38) | 21.08% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% ( -0.59) | 53.9% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |