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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
58.7% ( 1.31) | 21.59% ( -0.05) | 19.71% ( -1.26) |
Both teams to score 55.9% ( -1.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( -1.55) | 41.94% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.65% ( -1.57) | 64.35% ( 1.58) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% ( -0.1) | 13.98% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.51% ( -0.2) | 41.49% ( 0.2) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.98% ( -2.13) | 35.02% ( 2.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.24% ( -2.3) | 71.76% ( 2.31) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |