Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

GelreDome

Vitesse
1 - 3
Heerenveen

Manhoef (4')
Oroz (30'), van Ginkel (60')
van Ginkel (69')

FT(HT: 1-1)

van Amersfoort (25'), Tahiri (78' pen.), Nicolaescu (85')
Braude (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 5-1 Vitesse
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Vitesse 2-1 Heerenveen

With two defensively suspect sides going head-to-head, we are anticipating an exciting game with loads of chances at both ends. That said, we just about fancy Vitesse to carry the day come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Heerenveen
58.7% ( 1.31)	21.59% ( -0.05)	19.71% ( -1.26)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

-1.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.06% (

-1.55)

41.94% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.65% (

-1.57)

64.35% (

1.58)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02% (

-0.1)

13.98% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.51% (

-0.2)

41.49% (

0.2)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.98% (

-2.13)

35.02% (

2.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.24% (

-2.3)

71.76% (

2.31)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 58.7%

Heerenveen 19.71%

Draw 21.58%

Vitesse	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.7%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.58%	1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.71%