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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
79.22% ( -0.42) | 12.71% ( 0.24) | 8.06% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.25% ( -0.59) | 26.75% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.83% ( -0.76) | 47.17% ( 0.76) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.71% ( -0.19) | 5.29% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.16% ( -0.55) | 20.84% ( 0.55) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.08% ( -0.06) | 41.92% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.63% ( -0.06) | 78.37% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 6% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.37% Total : 79.22% | 1-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.71% | 1-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 8.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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