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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
24.6% ( 0.13) | 22.14% ( 0.04) | 53.25% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 60.95% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.54% ( -0.03) | 38.46% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.25% ( -0.04) | 60.75% ( 0.04) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( 0.08) | 28.69% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( 0.1) | 64.51% ( -0.1) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.47% ( -0.06) | 14.53% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.44% ( -0.13) | 42.56% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 24.6% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |