MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 09:23:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
PSV

Heracles
0 - 6
PSV


Bakboord (26')
Hoogma (21')
FT(HT: 0-2)
de Jong (22' pen.), Schouten (44'), Tillman (64'), Ramalho (69'), Til (84'), Pepi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Heracles
Saturday, October 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-2 Ajax
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

PSV have flown out of the blocks to start the season and are seemingly unstoppable at the moment. It is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for the away side here, and we fancy them to live up to expectations at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawPSV Eindhoven
24.6% (0.129 0.13) 22.14% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 53.25% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)38.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.25% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)60.75% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.082000000000008 0.08)28.69% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.102 0.1)64.51% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)14.53% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.44% (-0.126 -0.13)42.56% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 24.6%
    PSV Eindhoven 53.25%
    Draw 22.14%
HeraclesDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.27% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.25% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 24.6%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 3% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.25%

How you voted: Heracles vs PSV

Heracles
0.0%
Draw
10.0%
PSV Eindhoven
90.0%
30
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 23
PSV
3-1
Heracles
Veerman (20'), Zahavi (55'), Gakpo (71')
Max (86')
Armenteros (69')
Ouahim (75')
Aug 14, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Heracles
0-2
PSV

Fadiga (26'), Quagliata (66')
Bruma (39'), Madueke (63')
Junior (30'), Ramalho (76')
Apr 4, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 28
PSV
3-0
Heracles
Malen (9'), Dumfries (21'), Ihattaren (90+2')
Zahavi (59')

Quagliata (71'), Propper (79')
Sep 27, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 3
Heracles
1-1
PSV
Vloet (31' pen.)
Hardeveld (28'), Bijleveld (42'), Kiomourtzoglou (77'), Propper (88')
Max (51' pen.)
Rosario (73'), Bruma (78')
Apr 4, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
PSV
P-P
Heracles
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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