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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
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Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
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Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Waalwijk logo

Nijmegen
3 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Mattsson (23', 90'), Rober (90+5')
Hoedemakers (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Min (60'), Oukili (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Nijmegen
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 AZ
Sunday, August 20 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-0 RKC Waalwijk

NEC may consider themselves unlucky to have been on the receiving end of two defeats so far this season, but the visitors have very few positives to take out of their start to the campaign. Nijmegen also have a very good home record against RKC Waalwijk, winning 6-1 in this fixture last season, so we think the hosts should be able to record a fairly comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
57.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.98% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 20.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.23% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.3% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)64.71% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)14.55% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)42.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)34.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.89% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 57.27%
    RKC Waalwijk 20.74%
    Draw 21.98%
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 20.74%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs RKC Waalwijk

NEC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
Nijmegen
Anita (61')
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
May 14, 2019 5.30pm
First Round
RKC Waalwijk
3-0
Nijmegen
Seys (41'), Spierings (62'), Bilate (70')
Tahiri (63')

Dijkstra (65'), Okita (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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