Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 1
Nijmegen

Kitolano (81' pen.)
Verschueren (16')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Proper (56')
Nuytinck (8'), Meijer (9'), Hansen (57'), Baas (65'), Rober (67'), Rober (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, August 27 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 26 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 NEC

On the back of their victory last time out, NEC will feel that they can play with a sense of freedom against opponents who may feel the weight of expectation to capitalise on their fast start. Nevertheless, we are still backing the home side to prevail, potentially with a goal in either half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	NEC
35.86% ( 0.1)	25.72% ( -0.01)	38.42% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.14% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01% (

0.06)

48.99% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92% (

0.06)

71.07% (

-0.06)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

0.09)

26.45% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.37% (

0.12)

61.63% (

-0.12)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98% (

-0.02)

25.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31% (

-0.03)

59.68% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 35.86%

NEC 38.42%

Draw 25.72%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.86%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.42%