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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almere City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Almere City.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
40.46% ( 0.28) | 25.72% ( 0.05) | 33.82% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% ( -0.26) | 49.26% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% ( -0.24) | 71.32% ( 0.24) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% ( 0.02) | 24.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.65% ( 0.03) | 58.35% ( -0.03) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( -0.33) | 27.81% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.6% ( -0.42) | 63.4% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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