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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almere City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Almere City.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
40.46% ( 0.28) | 25.72% ( 0.05) | 33.82% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% ( -0.26) | 49.26% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% ( -0.24) | 71.32% ( 0.24) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% ( 0.02) | 24.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.65% ( 0.03) | 58.35% ( -0.03) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( -0.33) | 27.81% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.6% ( -0.42) | 63.4% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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