MX23RW : Sunday, May 11 19:54:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Sportpark De Weeren
FC Utrecht

Nijmegen
1 - 2
Utrecht

Hansen (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cathline (35'), Jensen (62')
Cathline (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, November 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Friday, November 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-2 FC Utrecht

Given the confidence levels of both teams heading into this one, we are anticipating a highly entertaining affair decorated by goals.   That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFC Utrecht
36.7% (0.452 0.45) 25.27% (0.226 0.23) 38.03% (-0.68 -0.68)
Both teams to score 56.79% (-0.776 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09% (-1.015 -1.02)46.9% (1.012 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.84% (-0.954 -0.95)69.15% (0.95 0.95)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.218 -0.22)25% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)59.66% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (-0.81399999999999 -0.81)24.28% (0.811 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (-1.166 -1.17)58.65% (1.163 1.16)
Score Analysis
    NEC 36.7%
    FC Utrecht 38.03%
    Draw 25.27%
NECDrawFC Utrecht
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.301 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.174 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.7%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.162 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.03%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Utrecht

NEC
Draw
FC Utrecht
NEC
24.6%
Draw
26.2%
FC Utrecht
49.2%
61
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Lammers (61')
Bozdogan (42'), van der Hoorn (90+1')

Nuytinck (19')
Sep 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
3-0
Utrecht
Proper (31'), Mattsson (34'), Dost (52' pen.)
Verdonk (17')

Jensen (44'), van der Maarel (58')
Mar 12, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
2-2
Utrecht
Dimata (31', 48')
Dost (63'), Boussaid (67')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Douvikas (77')

Duelund (14'), Bruijn (50'), Proper (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax32235463303374
2PSV EindhovenPSV32234596375973
3Feyenoord32198574363865
4FC UtrechtUtrecht32188661441762
5FC Twente32159860441654
6AZ AlkmaarAZ32158954342053
7Go Ahead Eagles32139105350348
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen32108143849-1138
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen32107154645137
14PEC Zwolle32811133950-1135
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


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