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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
30.93% ( 0.02) | 24.71% ( 0.04) | 44.36% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.15% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.24% ( -0.2) | 45.76% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.92% ( -0.19) | 68.07% ( 0.19) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( -0.09) | 27.93% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.44% ( -0.11) | 63.56% ( 0.11) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% ( -0.11) | 20.7% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.69% ( -0.18) | 53.31% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.93% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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