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Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
FC Volendam

Heerenveen
2 - 1
Volendam

van Hooijdonk (6', 33')
Karlsbakk (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Veerman (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-0 Volendam
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 2-1 FC Volendam

Like Volendam, Heerenveen have had little problem in the goalscoring department of late and we expect both teams to score in this one. That said, Heerenveen possess the more well-rounded of the two squads and we are backing them to emerge triumphant. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawFC Volendam
52.42% (-0.407 -0.41) 22.7% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 24.89% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 59.3% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.22% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)40.78% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)63.16% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)15.63% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.36% (-0.32 -0.32)44.64% (0.319 0.32)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.20699999999999 0.21)29.72% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (0.249 0.25)65.78% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 52.42%
    FC Volendam 24.89%
    Draw 22.7%
HeerenveenDrawFC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.42%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 24.89%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Volendam

Heerenveen
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
FC Volendam
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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