Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Nijmegen1 - 2Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: NEC 1-2 Ajax
NEC have been steadily improving recently, but Ajax have been in full flow for several weeks now, and we feel the visitors will extend their unbeaten run in the top flight to 11 in a row with a victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for NEC had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Ajax |
32.07% ( -0.47) | 22.67% ( -0.11) | 45.25% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 65.08% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.41% ( 0.34) | 35.58% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.36% ( 0.37) | 57.64% ( -0.38) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.1) | 22.28% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.27% ( -0.15) | 55.73% ( 0.14) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( 0.35) | 16.26% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.2% ( 0.63) | 45.8% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
NEC 32.07%
Ajax 45.25%
Draw 22.67%
| NEC | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 32.07% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.25% |
How you voted: Nijmegen vs Ajax
NEC
12.2%Draw
17.1%Ajax
70.7%41
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
