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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
38.99% ( 0.57) | 25% ( 0.01) | 36% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 57.67% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.26% ( -0.09) | 45.74% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.94% ( -0.09) | 68.05% ( 0.09) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.74% ( 0.25) | 23.25% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( 0.37) | 57.17% ( -0.36) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% ( -0.37) | 24.85% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.55% ( -0.51) | 59.45% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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