Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 3, 2021 at 8pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
3 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Pinto (7'), Thy (75' pen., 90+3')
Beugelsdijk (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

van Polen (52'), Tedic (63')
Reijnders (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PEC Zwolle
46.85%	24.49%	28.66%

Both teams to score 56.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03%

45.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72%

68.27%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28%

19.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27%

51.73%

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.4%

29.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36%

65.63%

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 46.85%

PEC Zwolle 28.66%

Draw 24.49%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.85%	1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.1% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.66%