Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
