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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
29.35% | 25.96% | 44.7% |
Both teams to score 52.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% | 51.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.44% | 73.56% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% | 32.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% | 68.58% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% | 23.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% | 56.95% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |