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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
42.68% | 24.27% | 33.04% |
Both teams to score 59.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.06% | 42.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.65% | 65.34% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.72% | 20.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.36% | 52.63% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% | 25.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% | 59.98% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.92% Total : 42.68% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |