Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
5 - 0
Vitesse

Hato (3'), Hlynsson (12'), Oroz (50' og.), Akpom (58'), Taylor (67')
Bergwijn (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cornelisse (90+1'), Domgjoni (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Almere City 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse have won four times here in the last 11 years and got a 2-2 draw last season in this fixture, so despite their early woes, they will feel it is a great opportunity to claim another big scalp. However, Ajax's two home league wins under Van 't Schip means it is likely they will be able to come through this fixture with a win, even if it is likely to be closer than they would hope. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 3-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
61.6% ( -0.04)	19.24% ( -0)	19.15% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 63.49% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.39% (

0.07)

31.61% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.89% (

0.09)

53.11% (

-0.09)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90% (

0.01)

9.99% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.99% (

0.03)

33% (

-0.02)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

0.08)

29.45% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

0.1)

65.46% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Ajax 61.6%

Vitesse 19.15%

Draw 19.25%

Ajax	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 61.6%	1-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.25%	1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 19.15%