Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
