Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 19, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
0 - 1
Ajax

Crowley (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maduro (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ajax have been imperious in front of goal, and Willem II will need to be at their absolute best to stand any chance of keeping the defending champions at bay. We fancy the visitors to cruise to a comfortable victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Ajax
9.08%	16.15%	74.77%

Both teams to score 45.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.1%

40.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.71%

63.29%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.04%

49.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.37%

84.63%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.65%

9.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.5%

31.49%

Score Analysis

Willem II 9.08%

Ajax 74.75%

Draw 16.15%

Willem II	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 3.24% 2-1 @ 2.67% 2-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.06% Total : 9.08%	1-1 @ 7.68% 0-0 @ 4.67% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 16.15%	0-2 @ 13.11% 0-1 @ 11.06% 0-3 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 7.19% 0-4 @ 6.14% 1-4 @ 4.26% 0-5 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-5 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-6 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.46% Total : 74.75%