Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
DG Arena
Arsenal Tivat1 - 6Alashkert
Dordevic (58')
Mirkovic (60'), Manojlovic (74')
Mirkovic (60'), Manojlovic (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Agdon (40', 45+1', 48'), Racines (74'), Grigoryan (90+2'), Mensah (90+4')
Gareginyan (33')
Gareginyan (33')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Arsenal Tivat and Alashkert FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alashkert 1-1 Arsenal Tivat
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Alashkert 1-1 Arsenal Tivat
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Arsenal Tivat had a probability of 10.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.94%) and 0-3 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for an Arsenal Tivat win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alashkert FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Tivat | Draw | Alashkert FC |
10.83% ( -0.22) | 20.73% ( -0.15) | 68.45% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 37.82% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
