Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb5 - 1Astana
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Astana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, September 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Saturday, September 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-1 Astana
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Osijek | 26 | 3.25 | Caktas |
| 2 | Rijeka | 17 | 2.43 | Jankovic |
| 3 | Dinamo Zagreb | 12 | 2.00 | Petkovic |
| 4 | Varazdin | 12 | 1.71 | Brodic |
| 5 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 1.57 | Livaja |
| 6 | Slaven Koprivnica | 11 | 1.22 | Crnac |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva | 9 | 1.29 | Bubanja |
| 8 | Gorica | 8 | 1.14 | Ndockyt |
| 9 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 1.00 | Erceg |
| 10 | Rudes | 5 | 0.63 | Pasaricek |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 67.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Astana had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Astana |
67.38% ( 0.1) | 19.91% ( -0.03) | 12.7% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.58% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
