MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:07:53| >> :120:12238:12238:
Astana
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Astana Arena
Ludogorets

Astana
2 - 1
Ludogorets

Tomasevic (40'), Marochkin (53')
Loncar (47'), Beysebekov (66'), Tomasevic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sonko-Sundberg (34')
Goncalves (47'), Verdon (87')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Astana and Ludogorets Razgrad.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Astana 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, August 2 at 3pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Astana had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Astana win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
AstanaDrawLudogorets Razgrad
25.24% (-1.233 -1.23) 25.45% (-0.41 -0.41) 49.31% (1.642 1.64)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (0.746 0.75)52.28% (-0.748 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (0.64 0.64)73.98% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)
Astana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.631 -0.63)35.62% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.656 -0.66)72.38% (0.654 0.65)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (1.028 1.03)21.22% (-1.031 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (1.574 1.57)54.11% (-1.576 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Astana 25.24%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 49.3%
    Draw 25.44%
AstanaDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.374 -0.37)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 25.24%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.08% (0.291 0.29)
1-3 @ 4.85% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 4.69% (0.289 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.14 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.82% (0.164 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 49.3%

How you voted: Loser Match 9 vs Loser Match 8

Loser Match 9
26.7%
Draw
20.0%
Loser Match 8
53.3%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!