Despite the even final scoreline, Gent had plenty of chances to come into the second leg with an advantage from the mud-soaked tie in Belgium. Basaksehir may have the bonus of home advantage, but if Gent can be slightly more ruthless, they should come out on top in what may well be a tight tie that goes to extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Gent had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Gent
44.84% ( 0)	23.86% ( 0)	31.29% ( -0)

Both teams to score 60.28% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.28% (

-0)

41.72% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.88% (

-0.01)

64.12% (

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15% (

-0)

18.85% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.7%

50.3%

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.28% (

-0)

25.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36% (

-0.01)

60.64% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 44.84%

Gent 31.29%

Draw 23.86%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Gent
2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 44.84%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.29%