Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Qarabag1 - 0Gent
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Qarabag FK 1-2 Gent
Qarabag FK have the home advantage in his game, and that could make them the favourites heading into it, especially since they are undefeated in their previous games. However, their previous European performances saw them struggle to get over the line, and that could lead to Gent taking the advantage into the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Gent had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Gent |
52.48% ( -0.08) | 23.29% ( 0.03) | 24.23% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
