UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadiumi i qytetit Suhareke

KF Ballkani
2 - 0
Lincoln

(KF Ballkani win 5-1 on aggregate)

Korenica (59'), Trashi (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yahaya (42'), Casciaro (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between KF Ballkani and Lincoln Red Imps.

Form, Standings, Stats

KF Ballkani

Last Game: Larne 1-4 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps

Last Game: Qarabag 4-0 Lincoln
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.

Result
KF Ballkani	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
50.43% ( -0.06)	24.42%	25.15% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.79% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.81% (

0.04)

48.18% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.66% (

0.04)

70.34% (

-0.05)

KF Ballkani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

-0.01)

19.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.24% (

-0.01)

50.76% (

0.01)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

0.07)

33.48% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

0.08)

70.12% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

KF Ballkani 50.43%

Lincoln Red Imps 25.15%

Draw 24.41%

KF Ballkani	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.43%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7.01% 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.15%