Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Bakcell Arena
Neftchi Baku2 - 1Rapid Vienna
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Rapid Vienna.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gdansk 1-2 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, July 28 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Neftchi Baku | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
33.88% ( 0.02) | 24.52% ( -0.02) | 41.6% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.99% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.15% ( 0.12) | 43.85% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% ( 0.12) | 66.23% ( -0.11) |
Neftchi Baku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% ( 0.07) | 25.17% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.1% ( 0.1) | 59.9% ( -0.1) |
Rapid Vienna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% ( 0.05) | 21.16% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.98% ( 0.08) | 54.02% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Neftchi Baku 33.88%
Rapid Vienna 41.6%
Draw 24.52%
Neftchi Baku | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.88% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.6% |
How you voted: Neftchi Baku vs Rapid Vienna
Neftchi Baku
5.9%Draw
11.8%Rapid Vienna
82.4%17
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-29 00:29:31
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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