MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 00:29:37| >> :600:594119:594119:
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Bakcell Arena

Neftchi Baku
2 - 1
Rapid Vienna

Jaber (44'), Saief (60')
Jaber (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Burgstaller (90+5')
Grull (36'), Pejic (36'), Schick (88')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Rapid Vienna.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Neftchi Baku 3-0 Aris
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Gdansk 1-2 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, July 28 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Neftchi BakuDrawRapid Vienna
33.88% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 24.52% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 41.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 58.99% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (0.122 0.12)43.85% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (0.118 0.12)66.23% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (0.072999999999993 0.07)25.17% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (0.1 0.1)59.9% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Rapid Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (0.054000000000002 0.05)21.16% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (0.080999999999996 0.08)54.02% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Neftchi Baku 33.88%
    Rapid Vienna 41.6%
    Draw 24.52%
Neftchi BakuDrawRapid Vienna
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.6%

How you voted: Neftchi Baku vs Rapid Vienna

Neftchi Baku
5.9%
Draw
11.8%
Rapid Vienna
82.4%
17
rhs 2.0
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